Active

Likelihood Assessment

The organization shall conduct likelihood assessments to evaluate the probability of identified risks occurring within a defined timeframe. Likelihood assessments shall consider the frequency and probability of risk events, taking into account existing controls and mitigating factors, using consistent methodologies.

Requirement ID
RSK-003-R007
Parent Control
Domain Code

Requirement Details & Guidance

RSK-003-R007 · RSK-003
Why This Requirement Exists

To estimate how probable a risk event is within a defined timeframe and support consistent risk prioritization.

Implementation Guidance

Define likelihood scales and time horizons; consider threat activity, exposure, control effectiveness, historical evidence, and relevant conditions; document assumptions and rationale.

Practical Application & Audit Readiness

RSK-003-R007 · Field Guidance

Business Examples

    Common Audit Findings

      Common Mistakes

        Best Practices & Ownership

        RSK-003 · Recommended Approach

        Recommended Practices

          Typical Owner

          Cross-Mapped Regulatory Frameworks

          Harmonized Control Mappings
          FRAMEWORK CODE FRAMEWORK NAME & DETAILS FAMILY / CATEGORY VERSION ACTION
          COBIT2019 COBIT COBIT is an enterprise governance and management f... Clause: 4.2 – Align, Plan and Organize (APO) > APO12 – Managed Risk > APO12.01 – Collect data. 4.5 – Monitor, Evaluate and Assess (MEA) > MEA02 – Managed System of Internal Control > MEA02.03 – Perform control self-assessments.
          COBIT
          Governance Framework
          v2019 View →
          DORA Digital Operational Resilience Act The EU Digital Operational Resilience Act establis... Clause: Article 8(2) – Continuous identification of ICT risk sources, cyber threats and ICT vulnerabilities Article 8(7) – ICT risk assessment of legacy ICT systems
          EU
          Regulation
          vCurrent View →
          GDPR General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) The General Data Protection Regulation is a bindin... Clause: Article 32(2) – Risk-based security measures
          EU
          Regulation
          vCurrent View →
          IRDAI IRDAI Information & Cyber Security Guidelines IRDAI information and cyber-security requirements... Clause: §1.8-III – Technology Risk Assessment Process; §1.8-IV – Information Security Risk Management Process
          India
          Guideline
          vLatest View →
          ISO22301 ISO/IEC 22301 ISO 22301 specifies requirements for a Business Co... Clause: 6.1.1 – Determining risks and opportunities; 6.1.2 – Addressing risks and opportunities; 8.2.3 – Risk assessment
          ISO
          Standard
          v2019 View →
          ISO27001 ISO/IEC 27001 ISO/IEC 27001 specifies auditable requirements for... Clause: 6.1.2 – Information security risk assessment
          ISO
          Standard
          v2022 View →
          NIS2 NIS2 Directive The NIS2 Directive establishes EU-wide cybersecuri... Clause: Article 21(2)(a) – Policies on risk analysis and information system security
          EU
          Directive
          vCurrent View →
          NIST-CSF NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) The NIST Cybersecurity Framework provides high-lev... Clause: ID.RA – Risk Assessment | ID.RA-04 – Potential impacts and likelihoods of threats exploiting vulnerabilities are identified and recorded
          NIST
          Framework
          v2 View →
          NIST80053 NIST SP 800-53 NIST SP 800-53 Rev. 5 presents control families, i... Clause: 3.16 – RISK ASSESSMENT; RA-3 – RISK ASSESSMENT
          NIST
          Control Catalog
          vRev. 5 View →
          NPCI-ISR NPCI Information Security Requirements NPCI information-security requirements define cont... Clause: Governance Controls; Policy, Roles and Risk Linkages – Cyber Risk Management programs
          India
          Standard
          vLatest View →
          PCI-DSS PCI DSS PCI DSS is an industry security standard maintaine... Clause: 12.3.1 – For each PCI DSS requirement that specifies; 12.3.2 – A targeted risk analysis is performed for each
          PCI
          Standard
          v4 View →
          RBI-CSF RBI Cyber Security Framework / Master Directions RBI cyber-security requirements and directions set... Clause: Circular §5 – Identification/assessment of inherent cyber risks and controls
          India
          Regulation
          vLatest View →
          SEBI-CSCRF SEBI Cyber Security & Cyber Resilience Framework SEBI’s Cybersecurity and Cyber Resilience Framewor... Clause: 1.5 GV.RM: Risk Management; 2.2 ID.RA: Risk Assessment
          India
          Regulation
          vLatest View →
          SOC2 SOC 2 Trust Services Criteria SOC 2 is an independent examination and reporting... Clause: CC3.2 – Risk Assessment – COSO Principle 7: The entity identifies risks to the achievement of its objectives across the entity and analyzes risks as a basis for determining how the risks should be managed.
          AICPA
          Audit Framework
          vLatest View →

          Parent Domain Context

          Governance Domain Baseline
          Domain Name:
          Risk Management (RSK)
          Purpose:
          To identify, assess, and treat cybersecurity, privacy, and resilience risks.
          Scope:
          Enterprise

          Parent Control Context

          Control Baseline
          Control Name:
          Risk Assessment (RSK-003)
          Summary:
          Conducts regular risk assessments using structured methodologies to identify, evaluate, and document risks to information assets, business processes, and critical infrastructure.
          Business Description:
          Conduct periodic risk assessments to identify and evaluate risks to critical information assets and business processes.